Millionaire Tax Flight

What are the social consequences of elite taxation? Does millionaire tax flight undermine state policies?

Myth of Millionaire Tax Flight

Stanford University Press, 2017. Order on Amazon.
Op-ed summary in The Guardian. [Slides for teaching]

Millionaire Migration and the Taxation of the Elite: Evidence from Administrative Data. American Sociological Review. June, 2016. Lead Article. (Lead author with Charles Varner, Ithai Lurie, and Richard Prisinzano.) (Won Granovetter Prize from the ASA section on economic sociology)

Eight Brief Responses to criticism from the free market think tank, Pioneer Institute.

Do Millionaires Migrate When Tax Rates Are Raised? Pathways Magazine. Summer 2014. (With Charles Varner).

Millionaire Migration and State Taxation of Top Incomes: Evidence from a Natural ExperimentNational Tax Journal. June, 2011. (with Charles Varner) (Won Dentler Award from the ASA section on Public Sociology.)

Replication:  The Chief Economist of New Jersey published a critical replication of our study in the Public Finance Review. Their estimates fall within our original 95 percent confidence intervals.  Despite their skeptical tone, their analysis confirms our core conclusion of a small (or very small) migration effect of the millionaire tax.

See our reply published in the same issue.

Shining a Light on Secret Money: Review of Gabriel Zucman’s The Hidden Wealth of Nations. European Journal of Sociology. Volume 57(3): 581-585.

Millionaire Migration in California: The Impact of Top Tax Rates. Working Paper (with Charles Varner). 2012.

Momentum for a Millionaire’s Tax. Boston Review Magazine. Dec, 2011.  Translated into Hebrew and published in the Israeli business daily, Calcalist.

Coverage in Popular Press

Bloomberg. January 2019. “Miami Woos New York Home Buyers

BBC Radio. October 2018. “Thinking Allowed: Rich Russians – Millionaire tax flight

San Francisco Chronicle. July 2018. “Dozens of millionaires fled California after 2012 tax increase, study says

L.A. Times. June 2018. “Chipotle’s move to Newport Beach shows that taxes matter for CEOs less than you’d think

Forbes. May 2018. “High Taxes Don’t Make Rich People Move

Wall Street Journal. Dec. 2017. “Deduction Rollback Hurts High-Tax States, But Exodus Isn’t Assured

CNBC. Dec. 2017. “Millionaire flight from tax reform may be exaggerated

CommonWealth Magazine. June 2017. “Taxes don’t make millionaires move

Boston Globe. June 2017. “Millionaires might complain about new tax, but they probably won’t flee, studies show

INC. Magazine. July 2016. “Are Millionaires Moving to Avoid High Taxes? The Answer May Surprise You

Washington Post. June 2016. “Chris Christie says high state taxes drive millionaires away. Here’s why he’s mistaken.”

Seattle Times. June 2016. “The very rich aren’t likely to flee income-tax states

CBS News. May 2016. “Do higher taxes really drive millionaires to flee?

Bloomberg. May 2016. “Higher Taxes Don’t Scare Millionaires Into Fleeing Their Homes After All

Time Magazine. May 2016. “The Rich Aren’t Fleeing Higher Taxes After All

Univision. May 2016. “¿Realmente los impuestos hacen que los ricos se muden?

U.S. News & World Report. May 2016. “Are Millionaires Moving to Dodge Taxes?

USA TODAY. July 2014. “States debate millionaires’ taxes.”

New York Times. Feb. 15, 2013. “The Myth of the Rich Who Flee From Taxes

New York Times. Feb. 6, 2013. “Two-Tax Rise Tests Wealthy in California

Washington Post. Nov. 2012. “Do millionaires move to avoid high taxes?

Reuters. Nov. 2012. “Super-rich flight from California? Not so fast

CNBC. Nov. 2012. “Taxes Don’t Drive Out the California Rich: Study

Huffington Post. Nov. 2012. “California Millionaires Unlikely To Leave State If Taxes Are Hiked, Study Reveals

Orange County Register. Nov. 2012. “Editorial: Will Prop. 30 chase out more millionaires?

L.A. Times. Oct 2012. “Would Prop. 30 really drive millionaires out of California?

San Jose Mercury News. Sept. 2012. “Superrich stay put in high-tax states like California

Washington Post. Apr. 2012. “Do voters really flee high-tax states?

Wall Street Journal. Apr. 2011. “Millionaire Tax Didn’t Chase the Rich From New Jersey, Study Says

New York Times. Apr. 2011. “Taxing the Rich

Trenton Times. Apr 2011. “N.J. Gov. Chris Christie’s opposition to millionaires tax is at odds with his ‘shared sacrifice’ rhetoric

Star-Ledger. Apr. 2011. “N.J. ‘millionaire tax’ would neither drive rich residents out of state, nor raise tax revenue

Philadelphia Inquirer. Apr 2011. “Christie discounts Princeton study on “millionaire’s tax”

Washington Post. June 2010. “Do millionaires flee high-tax states?